Predictive Thinking: How Your Brain Predicts the Future

Watch the recording of my public lecture hosted by Prof. Moritz Grosse-Wentrup and the Vienna Cognitive Science Hub.


Predictive Thinking: How Your Brain Predicts the Future, Recording from 22 October 2024, 18:30, Hörsaal 1, University of Vienna.

According to the brain, it is the most fascinating organ in the universe. Despite all we have learned, we’re still far from fully understanding how it works, how it shapes our reality, and fuels both joy and sorrow. Yet, a groundbreaking new theory is capturing the attention of researchers worldwide. In this talk, I will gently introduce you to the Predictive Processing theory and Karl Friston’s Free Energy Principle –  concepts that could transform the way we understand the brain and our everyday experiences. It turns out, thinking might not be what you think.

Link to the recording | Link to the my slides

Of hidden springs and endless oceans

I presented my latest preprint on minimal phenomenal experience (MPE) at Models of Consciousness meeting in Bamberg.


Models of Consciousness 2024, University of Bamberg, 30 September – 4 October, 2024

In the wake of the active inference framework two popular theories of consciousness highlight the relevance of insular cortex for interoceptive self modeling [Seth, 2021] and subcortical brain regions for qualitative experience [Solms, 2021]. Both provide a compelling ecological argument for integrated conscious experience, i.e., self organization of complex organisms with different parallel and hard to reconcile optimization goals. Computationally, both theories require some kind of self model as basis, which could contradict credible reports of MPE [Metzinger, 2024]. However, duality of conscious experience could be explained by a neuroscientific theory of two distinct brain networks emerging from different evolutionary history, leading to marked differences in cytoarchitecture and function [Sanides, 1962, Luu, Tucker, Friston, 2024]. Speculatively, System-I, originating from an olfactory system and amygdala-centered expansion gradient towards ventro/medial cortex, could enable interoceptive self modeling for everyday, habitual interactions with the body and the world. System-II, hippocampus-centered towards dorso/lateral cortex, could enable less egocentric forms of cognition and experience. In this sense, MPE could be a less salient/habitual form of experience, when neither interoceptive/exteroceptive prediction errors nor spontaneous episodic memory reactivation provide self-referential engagement of System-I. System-II, if not operating on content, could give rise to self-less experience of the world as such.

Link to the recording | Link to my slides | Link to my preprint