Multilocus models of selection and drift in subdivided populations

(P 25188-N25, Austrian Science Fund, FWF, 01.12.2012 - 31.08.2017)

 

Abstract: Many species are distributed in space with local subpopulations connected by migration. If environmental conditions vary in space, such species experience spatially heterogeneous selection which often acts on multiple genes. Local adaptation of a subpopulation to its environment may be counteracted by maladaptive gene flow from other subpopulations that are genetically different. Strong gene flow or small population size can lead to loss of variation and to genetic homogeneity. Lack of genetic diversity may hamper future adaptation to changing environmental conditions and endanger population survival.

Of particular interest are quantitative insights into the dependence of the degree of local adaptation and the degree of genetic divergence among subpopulations on the pattern and rate of migration, the form and intensity of selection, the genetic architecture of the traits under selection, and on population size and random genetic drift. From a genomics or data-oriented point of view, it is important to quantify the combined consequences of selection and gene flow on neutral (marker) sites linked to the selected loci.

Using mathematical models, we shall explore the consequences of genetic architecture on the maintenance of genetic variation, on the evolution of local adaptation, and on the advance of genetic divergence (an important factor in speciation). In particular, we will examine the role of linkage, of the relative magnitude of locus effects, and of epistatic interactions between loci. Of equal interest, and intimately related, is the study of the evolution of genetic architecture caused by divergent selection. We shall investigate the evolution of recombination, of chromosomal inversions, and of genetic incompatibilities between subpopulations. A proper mathematical treatment is very challenging because it requires the analysis of genuine multilocus models, both in a deterministic and a stochastic context. Mathematical analyses will be complemented by extensive computer simulations.

One major line of research will focus on stochastic models that describe evolution of a finite population inhabiting discrete demes. For the scenarios outlined above, we will analyze the invasion and sojourn properties of locally beneficial mutations in a genomic context and the concomitant signatures induced at linked neutral sites. The corresponding tools are provided by the theory of branching processes, Markov chains, and diffusion processes. A second major line of research will focus on (infinitely large) populations distributed continuously in space. Their evolution is modeled by systems of semilinear parabolic differential equations. We strive to establish general existence, convergence, and perturbation results for multilocus clines, i.e., of non-constant stationary solutions that describe the distribution of genotype frequencies in space. We shall study the invasion of locally advantageous alleles at linked loci and the consequences of linkage for the existence and properties of clines.

 

Persons funded by this project:

·         Ada Akerman: PhD student from 01.01.2013 – 31.10.2013

·         Simon Aeschbacher: Postdoc from 16.12.2012 – 31.12.2013

·         Linlin Su: Postdoc from 01.08.2013 – 15.08.2014

·         Sebastian Matuszewski: PhD student from 01.08.2014 – 31.12.2014; Postdoc from 01.01.2015 –  31.01.2015

·         Ludwig Geroldinger: PhD student from 01.09.2014 – 31.12.2014, Postdoc from 01.01.2015 –  31.03.2015

·         Martin Pontz: Master student, Forschungsbeihilfe 01.07.2015 – 30.11.2015

·         Swati Patel, Postdoc from 19.09.2016 – 31.08.2017

                                                                                                                                 

Publications (partially) funded by this project:

Aeschbacher S, Bürger R: The effect of linkage on establishment and survival of locally beneficial mutations. Genetics 197, 317-336 (2014)

Akerman A, Bürger R: The consequences of gene flow for local adaptation and differentiation: a two-locus two-deme model. J. Math. Biol. 68, 1135-1198 (2014)

Akerman A, Bürger R: The consequences of dominance and gene flow for local adaptation and differentiation at two linked loci. Theor. Popul. Biol. 94, 42-61 (2014)

Bürger R: A survey of migration-selection models in population genetics. Discrete Cont. Dyn. Syst. B 19, 883-959 (2014)

Bürger R: Two-locus clines on the real line with a step environment. Theor. Popul. Biol. 117, 1-22 (2017)

Geroldinger L, Bürger R: A two-locus model of spatially varying stabilizing or directional selection on a quantitative trait. Theor. Popul. Biol. 94, 10-41 (2014)

Geroldinger L, Bürger R: Clines in quantitative traits: The role of migration patterns and selection scenarios. Theor. Popul. Biol. 99, 43-66 (2015)

Hofbauer J, Su L: Global stability in diallelic migration-selection models. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 428, 677-695 (2015)

Hofbauer J, Su L: Global stability of spatially homogeneous equilibria in migration-selection models. SIAM J. Appl. Math. 76, 578-597 (2016)

Jones AG, Bürger R, Arnold SJ: Epistasis and natural selection shape the mutational architecture of complex traits. Nat. Commun. 5:3709 (2014)

Matuszewski S., J. Hermisson and M. Kopp: Catch me if you can: Adaptation from standing genetic variation to a moving phenotypic optimum. Genetics 200, 1255-1274 (2015)

Nagylaki T, Su L, Alevy I, Dupont TF: Clines with partial panmixia in an environmental pocket. Theor. Popul. Biol.  95, 24–32 (2014)

Patel S, Bürger R: Eco-evolutionary feedbacks between predator’s linkage disequilibrium and prey densities maintain diversity. bioRxiv doi:

Patel S, Schreiber S: Robust permanence for ecological equations with internal and external feedbacks. J. Math. Biol. 77, 79-105 (2018); doi: 10.1007/s00285-017-1187-5

Pontz M, Hofbauer J, Bürger R: Evolutionary dynamics in the two-locus two-allele model with weak selection. J. Math. Biol. 76, 151–203 (2018); doi: 10.1007/s00285-017-1140-7

Servedio M, Bürger R: The counterintuitive role of sexual selection in species maintenance and speciation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 111, 8113-8118 (2014)

Servedio M, Bürger R: The effects of sexual selection on trait divergence in a peripheral population with gene flow. Evolution 69, 2648–2661 (2015)

Su L, Lam K-Y, Bürger R: Two-locus clines maintained by diffusion and recombination in a heterogeneous environment. J. Differential Equations, online first (2018), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jde.2018.12.022; see also https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.03665

Su L, Nagylaki T: Clines with directional selection and partial panmixia in an unbounded unidimensional habitat. Discrete Cont. Dyn. Syst. A 35, 1697-1741 (2015)

Yeaman S, Aeschbacher S, Bürger R. The evolution of genomic islands by increased establishment probability of linked alleles. Molecular Ecology 25, 2542–2558 (2016)